Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 98.874765 109.772687 120.877874 133.011268 145.865620 159.050121 173.567219
2024-12-22 80.833089 96.522702 113.189131 132.091626 152.818925 174.747436 199.593055
2024-12-29 71.336694 89.883644 110.183862 133.809203 160.315328 188.921479 221.916382
2025-01-05 64.472752 85.169400 108.415964 136.060398 167.658977 202.304579 242.823699
2025-01-12 56.978302 78.922143 104.205117 134.898074 170.596487 210.307022 257.331846
2025-01-19 49.733850 72.312646 99.001905 132.062156 171.157513 215.239302 268.043074
2025-01-26 47.100132 71.060684 99.931980 136.226369 179.659902 229.102811 288.803388
2025-02-02 44.230157 69.247214 99.968685 139.144073 186.559403 241.021359 307.272548
2025-02-09 39.768186 65.046493 96.782007 137.913684 188.332284 246.820607 318.549759
2025-02-16 35.779491 61.171563 93.758485 136.666410 189.903373 252.240399 329.270114
2025-02-23 33.147436 58.937394 92.675508 137.702229 194.139121 260.736633 343.543978
2025-03-02 30.472701 56.448178 91.106583 137.995199 197.363211 267.954933 356.262065
2025-03-09 28.207071 54.423346 90.085755 138.966570 201.451705 276.280878 370.416530
2025-03-16 25.310678 51.267685 87.387928 137.644425 202.587252 280.982116 380.220708
2025-03-23 23.734416 49.973893 87.142859 139.457812 207.617088 290.387806 395.653149
2025-03-30 22.443897 49.023332 87.305184 141.759602 213.236100 300.503227 411.948612
2025-04-06 20.184680 46.367148 84.934102 140.568515 214.307885 304.967455 421.365426
2025-04-13 17.633299 43.015368 81.398120 137.659483 213.049212 306.458195 427.094272
2025-04-20 17.252391 43.280684 83.117091 141.930673 221.123893 319.580688 447.064138
2025-04-27 16.558418 42.951162 83.923195 144.922564 227.521299 330.615481 464.498157
2025-05-04 14.841866 40.680381 81.727561 143.660965 228.269862 334.522894 473.143098
2025-05-11 13.264348 38.513124 79.581606 142.381940 228.928302 338.268959 481.555835
2025-05-18 12.333508 37.472852 79.116088 143.444135 232.677723 345.917094 494.803226